Biden will attend the virtual meeting of the Group of Seven scheduled for 9: 30am EST (9: 30pm Beijing time).Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: I believe that the Gaza agreement may be reached soon. US National Security Adviser Sullivan said on Thursday that he believes that an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza may be reached soon, because Israel has indicated that it is ready and Hamas has shown signs of action.
Economic Daily commentator's article: Keep prices at a reasonable level. The Economic Daily issued a document saying that it is foreseeable that the implementation of macro-policies will create a better monetary and financial environment for economic growth and price stability, and also help to accelerate the formation of a virtuous circle of mutual promotion of consumption and investment, and promote a higher level of dynamic balance between supply and demand. Price is the "thermometer" of macroeconomic operation, the "wind vane" of market allocation of resources, and the "baton" of micro-management. Too high or too low is not conducive to economic and social development. In the short term, the decline in price level will help reduce the burden on consumers. However, if the price level continues to run at a low level, enterprises will "increase their income without increasing their profits", and the "involution" competition will intensify, and the motivation for expanding investment will weaken, which will further reduce employment opportunities and slow down the growth of wage income. Too low a price level will also raise the real interest rate, which may inhibit economic activities.Fitch: In 2025, the prospects of all segments of the US technology market are neutral. It is expected that the investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and the PC update cycle will promote the single-digit growth in the semiconductor segment.The "construction drawing" of capital market reform in 2025 is clear, "expanding patient capital", "attracting social capital to participate in venture capital more vigorously", "deepening comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing" and "expanding high-level opening up" ... The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12, and the economic work in 2025 was deployed. Many formulations and requirements are closely related to the capital market reform, development and stability in 2025. Experts said that in 2025, the capital market reform will continue to be comprehensively promoted, and it will become the focus to expand patient capital, deepen comprehensive reform of investment and financing, and expand high-level opening up. The "construction drawing" of the capital market reform has become clearer, and it is necessary to do a good job in the future to achieve results and further consolidate the "stable" foundation of the market. (CSI)
The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.The production and transportation capacity is continuously released. The coal supply is guaranteed this winter and next spring. In winter, the heating energy can be greatly improved. As a stabilizer of China's energy supply, coal production, storage and transportation have attracted much attention. At the 2025 National Coal Fair held recently, more than 30 enterprises signed medium-and long-term contracts for coal. Most of the medium-and long-term contracts signed this time are independently connected by the supply and demand sides, and the transaction has a high degree of marketization, which is conducive to the performance of enterprises according to the actual contract volume, and has laid a "reassuring" for coal supply this winter and next spring. The reporter learned from the China Coal Industry Association that in the first 10 months of this year, the national raw coal output above designated size was 3.89 billion tons, up 1.2% year-on-year, and the output reached the highest level in the same period in history. In terms of imports, in the first three quarters, China imported 389 million tons of coal, up 11.9% year-on-year. At the same time, coal storage is also full of confidence. According to the data, at present, the coal storage capacity of power plants nationwide is more than 200 million tons, and the average available days are more than 30 days. (Economic Daily)China's agricultural science and technology strength ranks first in the world, China's agricultural science and technology papers rank first in the world, China's agricultural science and technology papers rank first in the world, and China's agricultural patent competitiveness index ranks first in the world for the first time ... On December 12, 2024, the China Agricultural and Rural Science and Technology Development Forum and the conference on global agricultural research hotspots and scientific and technological competitiveness achievements were held in Beijing. At the meeting, the results reports of think tanks such as "2024 China Agricultural Science and Technology Papers and Patent Global Competitiveness Analysis" were released, and a group of bright data conveyed the vigorous trend that China's agricultural science and technology strength continued to rank first in the world.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14